Threshold Value
The threshold value in CUSUM analysis defines the alert level at which the cumulative sum of deviations signals a statistically significant change in performance.
It serves as a boundary for action:
- When the CUSUM curve crosses the threshold, it may indicate deteriorating performance (e.g., rising complication rate).
- Staying below the threshold suggests performance remains within acceptable limits.
How It’s Determined
Threshold values can be:
- Statistical, based on type I/II error probabilities and decision intervals (commonly used in industrial applications).
- Empirical, based on institutional experience or expert consensus.
- Graphical, set arbitrarily for visual feedback (e.g., 2.5 in our ICP example).
In our analysis of ICP monitor placement, we used a threshold of 2.5 to flag deviations from the acceptable complication rate of 10%. This value is not fixed and can be adjusted depending on:
- Procedure complexity
- Acceptable risk tolerance
- Training level of the surgeon
Clinical Application
Crossing the threshold may prompt:
- Case review or morbidity and mortality (M&M) analysis
- Temporary increase in supervision or training
- Modification of technique, workflow, or equipment
Using CUSUM with a clearly defined threshold value transforms raw outcome data into a real-time decision-support tool for improving patient safety and clinical performance.
Institutions may modify the threshold value based on: