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Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (aSAH) Outcome Prediction

Outcome prediction for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is critical for guiding clinical decision-making and providing prognostic information. Prediction models for aSAH typically consider clinical, radiological, and laboratory parameters.

1. Key Predictors of Outcome in aSAH

Clinical Predictors

Radiological Predictors

Laboratory Predictors

2. Outcome Prediction Models

Several models and scoring systems have been developed to predict the outcomes of aSAH patients:

Hunt and Hess Scale

World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) Score

Fisher Grade

Modified Rankin Scale (mRS)

Seattle International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (SAHIT) Prediction Model

SPRINT Model

3. Machine Learning in aSAH Outcome Prediction

Machine learning (ML) advances are enhancing the ability to predict aSAH outcomes. ML models integrate large datasets with complex interactions to predict outcomes with improved accuracy. Examples include:

4. Practical Application

Outcome prediction models are used to:

  1. Guide treatment decisions (e.g., timing of surgical clipping or coiling).
  2. Stratify risk for complications, such as vasospasm or delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI).
  3. Inform patients and families about prognosis.
  4. Facilitate research by standardizing outcome assessments.

5. Limitations

  1. Many models require external validation for different populations.
  2. Predictions are probabilistic, not deterministic, and should complement clinical judgment.
  3. Outcome depends not only on the initial severity but also on the quality of care and complications.

Retrospective Cohort Studies

A retrospective cohort study included 82 patients suffering from aSAH. Basaran et al. evaluated the predictive efficacy of AtlasGPT and ChatGPT 4.0 by examining the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and Youden's Index, in comparison to established clinical grading scales such as the World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) scale, Simplified Endovascular Brain Edema Score (SEBES), and Fisher scale. This assessment focused on four endpoints: in-hospital mortality, the need for decompressive hemicraniectomy, and functional outcomes at discharge and after 6-month follow-up. In-hospital mortality occurred in 22% of the cohort, and 34.1% required decompressive hemicraniectomy during treatment. At hospital discharge, 28% of patients exhibited a favorable outcome (mRS ≤ 2), which improved to 46.9% at the 6-month follow-up. Prognostication utilizing the WFNS grading scale for 30-day in-hospital survival revealed an AUC of 0.72 with 59.4% sensitivity and 83.3% specificity. AtlasGPT provided the highest diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.80, 95% CI: 0.70-0.91) for predicting the need for decompressive hemicraniectomy, with 82.1% sensitivity and 77.8% specificity. Similarly, the WFNS score and AtlasGPT demonstrated high prognostic values for discharge outcomes with AUCs of 0.74 and 0.75, respectively. Long-term functional outcome predictions were best indicated by the WFNS scale, with an AUC of 0.76. The study demonstrates the potential of integrating AI models such as AtlasGPT with clinical scales to enhance outcome prediction in aSAH patients. While established scales like WFNS remain reliable, AI language models show promise, particularly in predicting the necessity for surgical intervention and short-term functional outcomes. The study explored the use of advanced AI language models, AtlasGPT and ChatGPT 4.0, to predict outcomes for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). It found that AtlasGPT provided the highest diagnostic accuracy for predicting the need for decompressive hemicraniectomy, outperforming traditional clinical scales, while both AI models showed promise in enhancing outcome predictions when integrated with established clinical assessment tools 1)


This study demonstrates the potential of AI models like AtlasGPT and ChatGPT 4.0 to enhance outcome prediction in aSAH, particularly for short-term functional outcomes and surgical interventions. However, its limitations, including a small sample size and lack of external validation, necessitate further research before these models can be widely adopted in clinical practice. The integration of AI with established tools appears promising, but future studies must address gaps in generalizability, clinical applicability, and interpretability to realize the full potential of AI in aSAH management.

1)
Basaran AE, Güresir A, Knoch H, Vychopen M, Güresir E, Wach J. Beyond traditional prognostics: integrating RAG-enhanced AtlasGPT and ChatGPT 4.0 into aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage outcome prediction. Neurosurg Rev. 2025 Jan 11;48(1):40. doi: 10.1007/s10143-025-03194-w. PMID: 39794551; PMCID: PMC11723888.